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A World After the Rules: What Canada’s Pivot Tells Us About the New Global Order

Good morning, world. Like many people, I am still processing how dramatically the global landscape shifted last week. President Donald Trump’s extraordinary threats against Greenland and by implication against America’s NATO allies did more than shock diplomats. They crystallized a truth that many world leaders had sensed for years but hesitated to say aloud: the rules based international order is fading, if not already gone.

That truth was voiced plainly by Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney who declared that the old assumptions about global cooperation, predictability, and shared rules no longer hold. His words resonated powerfully at the World Economic Forum in Davos where he quickly became an unlikely symbol of clarity in an increasingly uncertain world. What made Carney’s statement remarkable was not just its bluntness but its timing. It arrived at a moment when ambiguity was no longer sustainable.

Canada’s response to this new reality is particularly instructive. Long accustomed to relying on stability in its relationship with the United States, Canada is now actively rethinking its economic, diplomatic, and security strategies. This pivot away from an increasingly volatile America is not an act of hostility but of survival. It reflects a broader lesson for middle and small powers: dependence on any single global actor, no matter how historically reliable, is now a strategic risk.

Other developments underline this global shift. Trump’s renewed threats toward Iran have revived fears of unilateral action and destabilization in the Middle East. In Europe, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s visit to China signals a pragmatic recalibration of alliances as countries seek balance rather than blind loyalty. Even cultural moments such as the quiet popularity of soothing music performances in Amsterdam reflect a deeper social desire for calm and grounding amid geopolitical turbulence.

What we are witnessing is not just a change in leadership style or foreign policy priorities. It is a structural transformation of how power operates in the world. The idea that international relations are governed by shared rules, enforced norms, and predictable behavior is giving way to a more transactional, interest driven, and uncertain system.

Canada’s experience offers a critical lesson. Adaptability is now a core national asset. Countries that diversify partnerships, invest in resilience, and speak honestly about shifting realities will be better positioned for what comes next. Those that cling to old assumptions may find themselves exposed when the rules they relied on quietly disappear.

The world has not ended but it has undeniably changed. The sooner nations acknowledge that shift, the better prepared they will be to navigate the order or disorder that follows.

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