This is because Moscow is not willing to give up the war. And if Russia continues to unleash further threats, NATO may join the war at full scale.
If NATO joins, the Russian aggression will be badly weaken and that will prompt Putin to use chemical weapons. And Russian allies like Iran, China and North Korea will likely join to fight as well.
The result will be planetary destruction - the third world war.
Classical realists and neorealists alike view international politics as a jungle whereby each state is subject to the “omnipresent threat of war”.
International relations between states are unlike domestic politics because a central authority with a monopoly on the legitimate use of force does not exist internationally to regulate the actions of aggressive or power-seeking states.
This system is anarchic; war is a symptom of anarchy. The constant possibility of war in an anarchic system requires states to follow realpolitik: “to be self-interested, prepare for war and calculate relative balances of power”.
Rational unitary state actors must pursue security and survival above all as anarchy relegates states to a permanent state of self-help.
Realists assume that in anarchy, power determines the behaviour of states. The relative gain of one state is inherently threatening to another, resulting in a security dilemma.
Neorealists argue that “in a world where power counts, no nation pursuing a rational policy has a choice between renouncing and wanting power.
Rational actors have little choice but to engage in realpolitik. The failure to do so threatens the survival of the state.
In this system, states with too much power may prompt other states to pursue countermeasures, while excessive weakness may leave a state open to attack.
International law is incapable of regulating the aggressive realpolitik of powerful states, just as the western sanction could not stop Russian aggression on Ukraine.
Hence the world must act now to avoid further escalation or planetary crisis!
Comments
Post a Comment